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Red40
351511.0
4128.1
22320.9
Blue64
562428.4
19327.9
167625.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528601001504064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#17
28.11.7
17.115.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End3.9
blue by 0.3
5624
#12
28.43.3
23.320.0
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End3.5
Second
223
#20
20.91.7
20.518.8
Auto4.1
Teleop14.1
End2.7
blue by 7.0
193
#7
27.93.3
27.624.3
Auto6.4
Teleop17.1
End4.4
Third
3515
#29
11.01.7
17.816.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End0.9
blue by 14.4
1676
#13
25.33.3
27.624.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed