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Red64
140323.3
44759.6
181128.6
Blue108
127922.5
22235.3
5631.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618720408010012014064108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#14
28.60.1
29.829.9
Auto4.6
Teleop20.3
End3.7
blue by 6.7
222
#8
35.32.0
31.733.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.0
End5.8
Second
1403
#24
23.30.1
22.923.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.7
End5.4
blue by 8.4
56
#1
31.72.0
29.231.2
Auto7.5
Teleop19.8
End4.3
Third
4475
#38
9.60.1
10.310.4
Auto2.0
Teleop6.9
End0.7
blue by 12.9
1279
#25
22.52.0
19.521.5
Auto4.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed