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Red78
22320.9
1134.8
334015.4
Blue73
428123.1
457332.4
403512.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7958020401001201407873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#4
34.80.5
36.636.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End4.0
red by 2.4
4573
#22
32.41.2
27.528.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
Second
223
#20
20.90.5
20.920.4
Auto4.1
Teleop14.1
End2.7
blue by 2.2
4281
#32
23.11.2
20.721.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End5.0
Third
3340
#21
15.40.5
15.715.2
Auto0.6
Teleop12.1
End2.7
red by 3.4
4035
#31
12.01.2
11.112.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed