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Red69
75212.9
428123.1
30330.0
Blue100
457332.4
22235.3
601517.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6283204010012014069100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#18
30.00.5
29.329.8
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End4.6
blue by 5.3
222
#8
35.31.4
33.735.1
Auto9.6
Teleop20.0
End5.8
Second
4281
#32
23.10.5
21.922.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End5.0
blue by 9.3
4573
#22
32.41.4
28.730.1
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
Third
752
#39
12.90.5
12.012.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
blue by 4.5
6015
#26
17.31.4
15.416.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed