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Red41
122813.9
61315.0
436119.9
Blue99
22416.6
465329.2
457332.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625601001504199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#16
19.92.6
20.117.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 12.5
4573
#22
32.42.1
17.219.3
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
Second
613
#27
15.02.6
17.014.4
Auto1.9
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 14.2
29.22.1
19.121.2
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End4.8
Third
1228
#34
13.92.6
22.319.7
Auto1.8
Teleop9.3
End2.9
blue by 2.7
224
#28
16.62.1
19.121.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed