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Red79
465329.2
601621.1
4128.1
Blue81
5631.7
260016.3
255421.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81692040601001201401607981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.2
29.229.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End4.8
blue by 2.5
56
#1
31.71.0
31.232.2
Auto7.5
Teleop19.8
End4.3
Second
41
#17
28.10.2
26.526.7
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End3.9
red by 6.1
21.91.0
20.821.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.7
End2.6
Third
6016
#15
21.10.2
20.921.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End4.7
red by 4.8
2600
#23
16.31.0
16.417.4
Auto7.1
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed