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Red80
428123.1
19327.9
255421.9
Blue52
181128.6
207014.7
122813.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7459020401001201408052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#7
27.90.8
25.626.3
Auto6.4
Teleop17.1
End4.4
blue by 0.7
1811
#14
28.60.6
29.929.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.3
End3.7
Second
4281
#32
23.10.8
22.423.1
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End5.0
red by 8.4
2070
#30
14.70.6
15.314.7
Auto2.5
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Third
21.90.8
21.922.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.7
End2.6
red by 8.0
1228
#34
13.90.6
14.513.9
Auto1.8
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed