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Red96
30330.0
7520.7
127922.5
Blue109
4128.1
19327.9
457332.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310140608012014016096109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#18
30.00.1
30.130.2
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End4.6
blue by 2.4
4573
#22
32.40.1
31.331.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
Second
1279
#25
22.50.1
22.522.6
Auto4.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
blue by 5.6
41
#17
28.10.1
27.027.1
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End3.9
Third
75
#11
20.70.1
20.820.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End4.9
blue by 7.2
193
#7
27.90.1
26.926.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.1
End4.4