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Red174
22556.5
164044.3
260734.2
Blue126
19337.5
201632.4
121831.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182129050100150200250300350400174126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
56.50.0
56.556.5
Auto17.1
Teleop31.0
End8.4
red by 19.0
193
Unranked
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
Second
1640
Unranked
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
red by 11.9
2016
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Third
2607
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
red by 2.2
1218
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9