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Red97
445426.8
201632.4
436125.3
Blue73
7527.6
48430.7
562432.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869402003004005009773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
red by 0.2
5624
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.3
End3.4
Second
4454
Unranked
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.5
End4.6
blue by 3.9
484
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Third
4361
Unranked
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.7
End4.3
blue by 2.3
75
Unranked
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds79%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds40%Capture odds