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Red44
53322.8
48430.7
29323.5
Blue80
1127.8
589546.3
314229.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311202003004005006007004480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.9
blue by 15.5
5895
Unranked
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
Second
293
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End1.5
blue by 6.1
3142
Unranked
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto6.4
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Third
533
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
blue by 5.0
11
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds26%Capture odds