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Red49
457527.5
10236.0
219121.6
Blue119
164044.3
22326.9
53322.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8699020040060080049119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End5.9
blue by 8.3
1640
Unranked
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
Second
4575
Unranked
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
red by 0.6
223
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.2
Third
2191
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.8
blue by 1.1
533
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds78%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds19%Capture odds