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Qual 242016 MidKnight Mayhem IV
Red87
562432.2
22426.4
36929.0
Blue71
1127.8
457527.5
19337.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89970501502002503003504008771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5624
Unranked
32.20.0
32.2→32.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.3
End3.4
blue by 5.3
193
Unranked
37.50.0
37.5→37.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
Second
369
Unranked
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.1
red by 1.2
11
Unranked
27.80.0
27.8→27.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Third
224
Unranked
26.40.0
26.4→26.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.3
End0.8
blue by 1.2
4575
Unranked
27.50.0
27.5→27.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds26%Capture odds