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Red54
542021.5
29323.5
219121.6
Blue78
436125.3
55525.3
36929.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668502003004005006007005478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End1.5
blue by 5.6
369
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.1
Second
2191
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.8
blue by 3.6
555
Unranked
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End3.6
Third
5420
Unranked
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End4.3
blue by 3.7
4361
Unranked
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds0%Capture odds