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Red80
562432.2
219121.6
121831.9
Blue100
125734.7
589546.3
495432.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82123020030040050060080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5624
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.3
End3.4
blue by 14.1
5895
Unranked
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
Second
1218
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
blue by 2.7
1257
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Third
2191
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.8
blue by 11.0
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
22%Capture odds58%Capture odds