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Red125
445426.8
589546.3
86947.4
Blue127
19337.5
201632.4
121831.9
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162132050100200250300125127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
red by 9.9
193
Unranked
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
Second
5895
Unranked
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
red by 13.9
2016
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Third
4454
Unranked
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.5
End4.6
blue by 5.1
1218
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9