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Red160
445426.8
589546.3
86947.4
Blue116
19337.5
201632.4
29323.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166111050150200250300160116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
red by 9.9
193
Unranked
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
Second
5895
Unranked
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
red by 13.9
2016
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Third
4454
Unranked
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.5
End4.6
red by 3.4
293
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End1.5