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Semifinal 2-32016 MidKnight Mayhem IV
Red116
86947.4
589546.3
445426.8
Blue120
19337.5
201632.4
121831.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162132050100200250300350116120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
Unranked
47.40.0
47.4→47.4
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
red by 9.9
193
Unranked
37.50.0
37.5→37.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
Second
5895
Unranked
46.30.0
46.3→46.3
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
red by 13.9
2016
Unranked
32.40.0
32.4→32.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Third
4454
Unranked
26.80.0
26.8→26.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.5
End4.6
blue by 5.1
1218
Unranked
31.90.0
31.9→31.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9