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Red130
22237.6
19034.8
620319.3
Blue112
10231.6
198936.5
192327.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11312150100150200130112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#14
37.60.1
37.637.7
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.4
red by 1.0
36.50.1
36.636.5
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End4.0
Second
190
#4
34.80.1
34.935.0
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.6
red by 3.3
102
#12
31.60.1
31.731.6
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End5.6
Third
6203
#37
19.30.1
19.419.5
Auto7.3
Teleop7.2
End4.9
blue by 8.5
1923
#20
27.80.1
27.927.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End4.7