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Red115
55525.3
108934.2
589541.3
Blue76
218022.4
16729.9
192327.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9457020408012014016011576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.9
33.835.7
Auto14.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
red by 13.5
1923
#20
27.81.0
28.629.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End4.7
Second
1089
#13
34.21.9
30.132.0
Auto11.5
Teleop19.4
End3.3
red by 11.8
2180
#21
22.41.0
17.418.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Third
555
#32
25.31.9
22.224.1
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End3.6
red by 15.3
1672
#38
9.91.0
14.515.5
Auto1.1
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned27%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed