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Red77
207021.5
589541.3
245817.4
Blue102
363732.3
10231.6
5637.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62102020408012014016077102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.8
35.736.5
Auto14.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
red by 4.2
56
#11
37.10.3
31.932.2
Auto9.2
Teleop22.8
End5.1
Second
2070
#27
21.50.8
16.016.8
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End5.1
blue by 10.8
32.30.3
31.031.3
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End5.1
Third
2458
#34
17.40.8
14.014.7
Auto2.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 14.2
102
#12
31.60.3
30.030.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed