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Red85
55525.3
475029.0
566625.8
Blue117
71417.4
22237.6
331439.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73972040608012014016018085117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.4
27.928.3
Auto11.2
Teleop13.6
End4.2
blue by 10.3
3314
#10
39.21.7
38.440.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.2
End6.0
Second
5666
#30
25.80.4
22.122.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.6
blue by 11.7
222
#14
37.61.7
34.636.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.4
Third
555
#32
25.30.4
24.124.5
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End3.6
red by 7.9
714
#31
17.41.7
17.919.7
Auto2.8
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed