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Red116
589541.3
475029.0
13616.8
Blue100
620319.3
198936.5
30336.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7999204060120140160116100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.4
36.537.9
Auto14.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
red by 4.8
36.50.4
35.936.4
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End4.0
Second
29.01.4
28.329.8
Auto11.2
Teleop13.6
End4.2
blue by 7.4
303
#1
36.30.4
36.036.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.5
Third
136
#35
16.81.4
14.716.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End0.9
blue by 2.5
6203
#37
19.30.4
21.522.0
Auto7.3
Teleop7.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed