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Red59
566625.8
180720.2
207021.5
Blue101
198936.5
457524.3
568431.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47102015059101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5666
#30
25.80.3
21.621.9
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.6
blue by 10.7
36.50.6
36.437.0
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End4.0
Second
2070
#27
21.50.3
14.915.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End5.1
blue by 10.3
31.70.6
25.526.1
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End6.2
Third
1807
#25
20.20.3
17.617.9
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End3.6
blue by 4.1
4575
#17
24.30.6
29.530.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned