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Red52
13616.8
245817.4
198936.5
Blue106
27225.2
55525.3
180720.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716420408010012052106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.51.1
37.035.9
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End4.0
red by 11.3
555
#32
25.31.8
22.724.5
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End3.6
Second
2458
#34
17.41.1
15.114.0
Auto2.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 7.8
272
#19
25.21.8
23.024.8
Auto10.8
Teleop10.8
End3.6
Third
136
#35
16.81.1
16.215.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End0.9
blue by 3.4
1807
#25
20.21.8
17.919.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed