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Red100
20426.0
568431.7
10324.2
Blue86
589541.3
620319.3
192327.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6697020408012014016010086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.72.1
26.128.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End6.2
blue by 9.6
41.30.6
37.937.3
Auto14.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
Second
204
#8
26.02.1
20.222.3
Auto6.4
Teleop15.5
End4.1
blue by 1.8
1923
#20
27.80.6
30.930.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End4.7
Third
103
#15
24.22.1
22.124.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.0
End4.8
red by 4.8
6203
#37
19.30.6
20.820.3
Auto7.3
Teleop7.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed