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Red107
30336.3
27225.2
19034.8
Blue83
192327.8
566625.8
20426.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017305015020010783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
36.30.5
37.838.3
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.5
red by 8.5
1923
#20
27.80.5
28.529.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End4.7
Second
190
#4
34.80.5
33.233.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.6
red by 8.9
204
#8
26.00.5
23.824.4
Auto6.4
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Third
272
#19
25.20.5
23.223.8
Auto10.8
Teleop10.8
End3.6
blue by 0.7
5666
#30
25.80.5
22.823.3
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
31%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsEarned