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Red100
10231.6
43325.0
589541.3
Blue77
218022.4
331439.2
436125.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998405015020010077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.4
38.538.9
Auto14.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
red by 2.1
3314
#10
39.21.1
39.438.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.2
End6.0
Second
102
#12
31.60.4
32.332.7
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End5.6
red by 6.3
4361
#23
25.31.1
23.422.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.7
End4.3
Third
433
#22
25.00.4
23.023.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End5.3
red by 2.6
2180
#21
22.41.1
20.519.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed