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Red74
75217.5
568431.7
436125.3
Blue114
331439.2
475029.0
245817.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698705010015074114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.3
30.731.0
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End6.2
blue by 7.5
3314
#10
39.20.4
38.338.8
Auto8.0
Teleop25.2
End6.0
Second
4361
#23
25.30.3
22.322.6
Auto8.3
Teleop12.7
End4.3
blue by 3.7
29.00.4
29.529.9
Auto11.2
Teleop13.6
End4.2
Third
752
#24
17.50.3
16.616.9
Auto2.7
Teleop12.7
End2.1
red by 0.1
2458
#34
17.40.4
14.514.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed