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Red61
122822.2
245817.4
599217.9
Blue113
86944.1
30336.3
207021.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42100020608012014016061113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1228
#28
22.20.8
20.020.7
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End4.5
blue by 22.0
869
#3
44.11.3
39.640.9
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End12.2
Second
5992
#33
17.90.8
16.016.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.6
blue by 18.4
303
#1
36.31.3
34.135.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.5
Third
2458
#34
17.40.8
13.214.0
Auto2.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 4.1
2070
#27
21.51.3
14.716.0
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned