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Red90
543824.7
19034.8
122822.2
Blue82
55525.3
568431.7
218022.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757902040601001201409082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
34.81.1
32.633.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.6
red by 3.1
31.70.4
31.131.4
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End6.2
Second
5438
#18
24.71.1
23.324.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 0.6
555
#32
25.30.4
24.024.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End3.6
Third
1228
#28
22.21.1
17.718.8
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End4.5
blue by 0.2
2180
#21
22.40.4
21.121.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed