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Red110
42325.3
363732.3
86944.1
Blue95
192327.8
436125.3
55525.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107105010015011095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#3
44.10.6
43.944.6
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End12.2
red by 16.3
1923
#20
27.81.4
26.527.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End4.7
Second
32.30.6
32.132.7
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End5.1
red by 7.0
555
#32
25.31.4
23.925.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End3.6
Third
423
#36
25.30.6
24.725.3
Auto8.5
Teleop11.8
End5.0
red by 0.1
4361
#23
25.31.4
23.925.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed