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Red109
198936.5
218022.4
19034.8
Blue79
255421.6
543824.7
457524.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907005010015010979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.51.6
34.335.9
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End4.0
red by 11.8
5438
#18
24.70.6
21.121.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Second
190
#4
34.81.6
32.233.8
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.6
red by 10.5
4575
#17
24.30.6
27.327.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Third
2180
#21
22.41.6
18.420.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
red by 0.8
2554
#29
21.60.6
22.222.8
Auto8.1
Teleop9.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed