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Red179
36538.9
259037.3
162621.8
Blue157
457338.3
164034.5
620321.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118109406080100140160180200179157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#2
38.90.6
38.238.9
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End9.8
red by 0.6
4573
#10
38.30.3
38.038.3
Auto9.9
Teleop17.0
End11.4
Second
37.30.6
36.737.3
Auto9.3
Teleop22.8
End5.2
red by 2.8
34.50.3
34.234.5
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End4.2
Third
1626
#26
21.80.6
21.221.8
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End3.4
red by 0.3
6203
#18
21.40.3
21.121.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End3.8