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Red146
36538.9
259037.3
162621.8
Blue38
545722.1
260018.8
593821.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127665010015020014638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#2
38.90.0
38.438.4
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End9.8
red by 16.8
5457
#15
22.10.6
23.122.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Second
37.30.0
36.836.8
Auto9.3
Teleop22.8
End5.2
red by 15.9
5938
#21
21.40.6
22.521.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End4.8
Third
1626
#26
21.80.0
21.321.3
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End3.4
red by 2.9
2600
#14
18.80.6
19.919.3
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End3.9