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Red86
86932.9
568425.0
566621.8
Blue0
622624.5
8718.4
127922.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9269020406080100120140160860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#16
32.90.1
30.230.1
Auto3.6
Teleop21.4
End7.8
red by 8.4
6226
#13DQ
24.50.9
21.620.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.6
Second
25.00.1
22.322.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End4.6
red by 2.7
1279
#24DQ
22.30.9
20.819.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End4.6
Third
5666
#22
21.80.1
22.822.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End5.3
red by 3.5
87
#9DQ
18.40.9
18.017.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End1.6