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Red67
457522.1
164723.6
622624.5
Blue59
127922.3
260018.8
495422.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656445505560707580856759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6226
#13
24.50.1
20.820.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.6
red by 2.1
4954
#25
22.41.0
25.524.6
Auto6.0
Teleop13.4
End2.9
Second
1647
#11
23.60.1
22.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop13.5
End4.2
red by 1.3
1279
#24
22.30.6
20.920.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End4.6
Third
4575
#27
22.10.1
20.220.1
Auto5.9
Teleop13.1
End3.1
red by 3.3
2600
#14
18.80.6
16.315.7
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed