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Red55
249517.5
127922.3
86932.9
Blue83
260018.8
164034.5
545722.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63702040801005583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#16
32.90.8
26.025.2
Auto3.6
Teleop21.4
End7.8
blue by 1.7
34.50.1
26.626.7
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End4.2
Second
1279
#24
22.30.5
22.522.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End4.6
red by 0.3
5457
#15
22.10.1
24.324.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Third
2495
#36
17.50.5
13.713.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End3.1
blue by 1.4
2600
#14
18.80.1
16.016.1
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed