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Red43
127922.3
316718.8
164723.6
Blue54
162621.8
542020.8
31619.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636740801004354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1647
#11
23.61.2
23.522.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.5
End4.2
red by 1.8
1626
#26
21.81.2
24.223.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Second
1279
#24
22.31.2
22.120.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End4.6
red by 1.5
5420
#12
20.81.2
19.117.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.4
End3.8
Third
3167
#31
18.81.2
16.014.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.1
End4.0
blue by 0.5
316
#29
19.21.2
21.520.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed