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Red82
201626.3
543820.8
86932.9
Blue92
495422.4
36538.9
568425.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67734060801001208292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#16
32.90.6
24.825.5
Auto3.6
Teleop21.4
End7.8
blue by 6.0
365
#2
38.92.4
30.232.7
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End9.8
Second
26.30.4
25.225.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.9
End3.3
red by 1.2
25.02.4
18.921.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End4.6
Third
5438
#19
20.80.6
16.216.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.5
End4.5
blue by 1.5
4954
#25
22.42.4
20.923.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed