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Red75
272913.7
219121.6
457338.3
Blue99
86932.9
260018.8
8718.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7655020401001201407599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4573
#10
38.30.3
34.434.7
Auto9.9
Teleop17.0
End11.4
red by 5.4
869
#16
32.92.8
25.528.3
Auto3.6
Teleop21.4
End7.8
Second
2191
#20
21.60.3
19.720.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.8
red by 2.8
2600
#14
18.81.8
15.117.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End3.9
Third
2729
#32
13.70.3
16.416.7
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End1.5
blue by 4.7
87
#9
18.41.8
15.917.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed20%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed