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Red39
8718.4
162621.8
495422.4
Blue94
511330.1
545722.1
457338.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions559802040801201401603994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4954
#25
22.42.0
21.419.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.4
End2.9
blue by 15.9
4573
#10
38.30.3
34.735.0
Auto9.9
Teleop17.0
End11.4
Second
1626
#26
21.82.0
20.618.6
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End3.4
blue by 8.3
30.10.3
29.229.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.6
End4.1
Third
87
#9
18.41.4
17.716.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End1.6
blue by 3.7
5457
#15
22.10.3
25.225.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed