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Red90
127922.3
573213.5
122820.0
Blue72
162621.8
219121.6
543820.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46680204060801001209072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#24
22.32.5
19.922.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End4.6
red by 0.5
1626
#26
21.80.3
21.021.3
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Second
1228
#28
20.02.5
17.520.0
Auto2.7
Teleop12.4
End4.9
blue by 1.7
2191
#20
21.60.3
21.321.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.8
Third
5732
#37
13.52.7
10.813.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End3.7
blue by 7.3
5438
#19
20.80.3
20.520.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed