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Red62
10228.3
545722.1
272913.7
Blue108
622624.5
164034.5
108930.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669020408010012014016018062108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#7
28.30.8
29.428.6
Auto5.2
Teleop18.2
End4.9
blue by 6.2
34.51.6
32.233.8
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End4.2
Second
5457
#15
22.10.7
23.823.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End4.5
blue by 8.0
30.11.8
28.630.4
Auto10.2
Teleop17.3
End2.6
Third
2729
#32
13.70.7
14.413.7
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End1.5
blue by 10.8
6226
#13
24.51.6
22.824.5
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed