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Red162
457338.3
164034.5
620321.4
Blue100
86932.9
568425.0
566621.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11489406080100140160180162100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4573
#10
38.30.5
37.938.5
Auto9.9
Teleop17.0
End11.4
red by 5.4
869
#16
32.90.1
33.032.9
Auto3.6
Teleop21.4
End7.8
Second
34.50.5
34.234.7
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End4.2
red by 9.5
25.00.1
25.125.0
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End4.6
Third
6203
#18
21.40.5
21.121.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End3.8
blue by 0.4
5666
#22
21.80.1
21.921.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End5.3