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Red141
84242.8
98755.2
396529.2
Blue66
519933.4
6028.8
29526.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621015015020025014166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
55.20.2
55.455.3
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End9.2
red by 21.8
5199
#17
33.40.5
33.833.3
Auto9.3
Teleop14.2
End9.9
Second
842
#11
42.80.2
43.042.8
Auto10.1
Teleop26.4
End6.3
red by 14.0
60
#8
28.80.5
29.228.6
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Third
3965
#18
29.20.2
29.429.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.0
End4.2
red by 2.4
295
#27
26.70.5
27.126.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End3.4