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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Las Vegas Regional
Red118
214436.3
427633.9
166117.4
Blue105
300933.7
301127.8
312827.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091186080100140160180118105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#7
36.30.1
36.4→36.5
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End4.7
red by 2.6
3009
#10
33.70.4
35.2→34.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End11.4
Second
4276
#3
33.90.1
33.9→34.1
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End5.5
red by 6.0
3128
#13
27.90.4
29.4→29.0
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End3.2
Third
1661
#41
17.40.1
17.4→17.5
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 10.4
3011
#6
27.80.4
29.3→28.9
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End3.5