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Red71
349536.7
349132.2
283921.6
Blue50
297226.7
242915.6
47929.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646102040801001201407150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.7
27.127.8
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End3.0
red by 10.0
2972
#29
26.70.7
25.725.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.2
End4.3
Second
3491
#20
32.21.0
15.016.1
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End7.8
red by 16.6
2429
#45
15.60.6
16.816.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.5
Third
2839
#36
21.60.8
19.720.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 12.0
4792
#49
9.61.0
16.815.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed