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Qual 102016 Las Vegas Regional
Red54
544929.0
283921.6
300933.7
Blue111
349536.7
427633.9
320027.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677720406010012054111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#10
33.71.0
26.8→25.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End11.4
blue by 3.0
3495
#9
36.72.8
27.8→30.6
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End3.0
Second
5449
#24
29.01.4
19.6→18.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End5.4
blue by 4.9
4276
#3
33.93.3
28.2→31.5
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End5.5
Third
2839
#36
21.61.1
20.6→19.5
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End2.7
blue by 5.6
3200
#5
27.32.5
17.5→20.0
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned