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Red67
177222.8
325540.2
151526.1
Blue89
501233.8
582419.2
248635.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85866570758090951001056789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.21.4
38.437.0
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
red by 5.0
2486
#15
35.20.1
35.635.7
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.2
Second
1515
#31
26.11.0
24.123.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End4.9
blue by 7.7
33.80.1
30.430.5
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End6.5
Third
1772
#30
22.81.7
19.918.2
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 3.6
5824
#32
19.20.1
17.017.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed